MEXICO CITY 鈥 Mexicans will vote Sunday in historic elections weighing gender, democracy and populism, as they chart the country's path forward in voting shadowed by cartel violence.
With two women leading the contest, Mexico will likely elect its first female president 鈥 a major step in a country long marked by its 鈥渕acho鈥 culture. The election will also be the biggest in the country's history. More than 20,000 congressional and local positions are up for grabs, according to the National Electoral Institute.
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The number of contested posts has fed bloodshed during the campaigns, as criminal groups have used local elections as an opportunity to exert power. A toxic slate of cartels and gangs have battled for turf and more than 20 people seeking political office have been killed just this year.
Also at play is the political legacy of President Andr茅s Manuel L贸pez Obrador and Mexico's often .
Who are the candidates in Mexico's presidential election?
Candidate , the former mayor of Mexico City, has maintained a comfortable double-digit lead in polls for months. She promises to be a continuation of populist leader L贸pez Obrador and is backed by his ruling Morena party. Trained as a scientist, Sheinbaum has had to walk a fine line to carve out her own image while highlighting her connection to L贸pez Obrador, though she lacks the charisma that attracted many to her political ally.
Candidate an opposition senator and tech entrepreneur, represents a coalition of parties that have had little historically to unite them other than their recent opposition to L贸pez Obrador. G谩lvez is a fierce critic of the outgoing president who doesn't shy away from verbal sparring, but who hasn't appeared to ignite much fervor for her Strength and Heart for Mexico coalition.
The third candidate is little-known Jorge 脕lvarez M谩ynez, a former federal congressman from the Citizen Movement party. He has focused on trying to scoop up the young vote, but has not gotten much traction.
What has President L贸pez Obrador meant for this election?
Elected in 2018, L贸pez Obrador large swathes of the population like the working-class and poor, rural voters who had long felt forgotten by the political system. He made combatting corruption his top priority. Despite not being on the ballot, much of Sunday's
Though he remains highly popular, L贸pez Obrador has shown himself to be intolerant of criticism and oversight. And his critics say his moves to attack the judiciary, slash funding to Mexico's electoral agency and expand the military's responsibilities in civilian life have eroded Mexican democracy. The opposition has responded with large protests.L贸pez Obrador is considered Sheinbaum's mentor and if she is elected, it would cement his legacy and show that his Morena party can survive beyond his presidency.
When are Mexico's elections and how does voting work?
Parties selected their candidates well before the official start of campaigning for the presidential, congressional and municipal elections. On June 2, millions of voters will cast for their new leaders in a single round of voting. The winner of the highly anticipated presidential election will serve a six-year term.
While most eyes are on the presidential race, Mexicans will also vote for 128 senators, 500 congressional representatives and for nearly 20,000 local government positions.
Why has the campaign cycle been so violent?
Under L贸pez Obrador's 鈥渉ugs not bullets鈥 policy, which emphasizes addressing the societal root causes of violence, analysts say cartels and other criminal groups have . Homicide rates have remained stubbornly high despite promises by L贸pez Obrador to ease the violence. L贸pez Obrador has in many cases refused to confront criminal groups, and activists say his government has tried to reduce the official count of Mexico's in the lead up to the election.
Cartels and other criminal groups see elections 鈥 particularly local elections 鈥 as an opportunity to make power grabs. They've warred for turf and at least 145 people tied to politics have been slain by organized crime this year, according to tracking by the human rights organization Data Civica.
Violence has been in states where criminal groups are fighting for territory like Chiapas and Guerrero in the south, and Michoacan in central Mexico.
Mexico's first woman president
Electing a female president would be a huge step in a country with soaring levels of gender-based violence and deep gender disparities.
Mexico still has a famously intense 鈥渕achismo,鈥 or culture of male chauvinism, that has created large economic and social disparities in society. In its most extreme form, the misogyny is expressed in , and things like .
Yet a historic number of women in the socially conservative country are taking up leadership and political roles.
That鈥檚 in part due to a decades-long push by authorities for greater representation in politics, including laws that require political parties to have half of their congressional candidates be women. Since 2018, Mexico鈥檚 Congress has had a 50-50 gender split, and the number of female governors has shot up.
Both frontrunner Sheinbaum and G谩lvez have promised to address high rates of gender-based violence and gender disparities if they win.